There are times to announce a project with a great blare of trumpets and with all of the fanfare that can be mustered. There are other times when a site is an empty stage, black except for a bare spot light, and the author walks to the microphone, stares over the empty house, and taps the microphone. The analog analogy is still strong among us, even though we have been grace digital for a long time.
So it is with this one. It is not a project meant for the multitudes, but precisely for those who are gradually peeling away from the small certainties of small people. This blog is meant to describe in detail my working methods and systematic theories, so that others may expand their ability to understand, analyze, and predict. To be brilliant is to do what others cannot, to be a genius is to each others to do what you cannot. There are no lone geniuses, because to be a genius, you must be the beginning, as the name implies, of others that come after you. Even if an idea slips in to your thoughts, like an angel in a faerie tale, and you unaided and alone develop it, without others, there is no genius. So it is here.
This is not easy material, even though the purpose of this site is to gradually make visible the inner workers of the hidden watch. It is not intended to change the present, because there is no future in the present, it is past my ability to alter in any meaningful way. But to entertain ideas is often more worthwhile than to entertain a myriad of guests.
The essential pieces of the puzzle are these:
The Symbolic Analytics This is a method for analyzing cascades, it rests on iterative theory, and is largely a branch of mathematics.
Xaotic Historicism Historicism is the belief that one can understand the past and predict the future by studying the past. However, historical analogy is run riot, and offers no restraint to the mind. One can prove anything by historical analogy. Only with a method of analysis, is there hope of separating useful pattern from wishful thinking.
Generative Epistemology Epistemology is the study of why we know what we know, generative epistemology is the idea that ideas are the map, and the truth set beneath them is the territory. It uses ideas from the physics to see theories not as facts, but as manifolds, which are fit to our perception of the truth. Thus, it is not falsifiability, but boundary, which describes scientific thinking.
The Thesis Method The thesis method is a means to construct a theory, with its related manifold against historical facts, and both make predictions, and limit them to the area where the thesis is supposed to hold.
All of the writing which I have done fits into these three methods. Master them and you will be able to see exactly how I have done what I have done, why the predictions worked, and why they were, also, ignored.
I write here because I have broken completely and decisively with the present political movements, because, in English, they are all variations of the same evil. This evil, and that is the correct word for it, is a common fantasy of a late regime that has subsisted on empire, namely that merely renouncing certain kinds of wrong will allow the people who have lived well on the blood of others, to keep what they have stolen. It is a moral an ethical proposition, and one which will be explained in due course.